06e dying, tcgen

ecm still tcdev at 144, most aggressive, ngp least, gfs/ukm SW of ecm

06e moving into dry/ridging, will cross into cphc aor ~ 2007071818

lant !tcgen

wave/trough now just coming off africa is not developing, ecmwf shows monsoon trough at tau 120, gfs stronger trades, trough, cmc overamps everything

diff between ecm v gfs/ukm in qmh re: upper cut off over east us and moistening of monsson trough at tau 120:

lant

waves at 10N/50 and 15N/20, dampen in all models, monsoon trough forms in all models, except nogaps at 120h, cmc strongest, ngp weakest


waves

epac tcdev

tc dev from trough/wave ~ 10N/70W at tau 144

at 120 all models doing tcgen, cmc strongest, ncep weakest

lant