20070718

06e dying, tcgen


ecm still tcdev at 144, most aggressive, ngp least, gfs/ukm SW of ecm











06e moving into dry/ridging, will cross into cphc aor ~ 2007071818




lant !tcgen












wave/trough now just coming off africa is not developing, ecmwf shows monsoon trough at tau 120, gfs stronger trades, trough, cmc overamps everything















diff between ecm v gfs/ukm in qmh re: upper cut off over east us and moistening of monsson trough at tau 120: